Redirect


This site has moved to http://economistsview.typepad.com/
The posts below are backup copies from the new site.

December 10, 2009

Weekly Claims for Unemployment Insurance Increase Slightly

From Calculated Risk:

The DOL reports on weekly unemployment insurance claims:
In the week ending Dec. 5, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 474,000, an increase of 17,000 from the previous week's unrevised figure of 457,000. The 4-week moving average was 473,750, a decrease of 7,750 from the previous week's revised average of 481,500.
...
The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending Nov. 28 was 5,157,000, a decrease of 303,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 5,460,000.
Weekly Unemployment Claims Click on graph for larger image in new window.

This graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased this week by 7,750 to 473,750. This is the lowest level since October 2008.

Although falling, the level of the 4 week average is still high, suggesting continuing job losses.

Is this a momentary pause in a slow recovery, noisy weekly data obscuring the trend, or a sign that we are beginning to move sideways? Even if we aren't moving sideways, we aren't doing enough to help labor markets recover, so if we are moving sideways - surely a possibility - the policies that are in place are inadequate. We need to do more.

No comments: